Written by

Joel Hauer

Principal Consultant

Want to know which marketing attribution model works best for your business? Here's a quick breakdown:

  • First-Touch Model: Credits the first interaction. Great for brand awareness campaigns and short sales cycles.

  • Last-Touch Model: Focuses on the final step before purchase. Ideal for direct-response campaigns and flash sales.

  • Equal-Split Model: Divides credit evenly across all touchpoints. Perfect for multi-channel campaigns and subscription-based businesses.

  • Time-Based Model: Weighs recent interactions more heavily. Best for short-term promotions and seasonal products.

  • Algorithm-Based Model: Uses machine learning to assign credit dynamically. Works well for complex customer journeys and data-rich environments.

Quick Comparison

Model

Focus

Best For

Complexity

First-Touch

Initial interaction

Awareness campaigns

Low

Last-Touch

Final interaction

Flash sales, direct-response

Low

Equal-Split

Entire journey

Multi-channel campaigns

Medium

Time-Based

Recent interactions

Short-term promotions

Medium-High

Algorithm-Based

Data-driven credit

Complex, multi-touch journeys

High

Pro Tip: Start with simple models if you're new to attribution, and move to advanced ones as your data capabilities grow. Ready to dive deeper? Let’s explore each model in detail.

1. First-Touch Model

How It Works

The First-Touch model gives full credit for a conversion to the customer's very first interaction with your brand. By using cookies and unique URLs, this method tracks and identifies the initial touchpoint that brought customers to your business.

For example, if a customer first discovers your brand through a Facebook ad, later engages via email, and finally converts through a Google ad, the Facebook ad gets 100% of the credit. This straightforward approach makes it easier to evaluate how individual channels perform in attracting new customers.

Strengths

The First-Touch model is particularly helpful for understanding which channels are most effective at driving initial engagement and building brand awareness. It’s especially useful for:

  • Assessing top-of-funnel performance

  • Pinpointing traffic sources that bring in new visitors

  • Making quick budget allocation decisions

  • Measuring the success of brand awareness campaigns

"First-touch attribution plays a crucial role in proving the value of some of the lesser understood top-of-funnel marketing efforts, such as content marketing and brand awareness initiatives." - Ashley Levesque

Weaknesses

Despite its simplicity, the First-Touch model has several drawbacks:

Limitation

Impact

Journey Oversimplification

Assumes a direct path from the first contact to purchase

Missed Touchpoints

Overlooks the role of later interactions in the customer journey

Offline Blind Spots

Fails to account for offline interactions

Attribution Accuracy

Pinpointing the true first interaction can be tricky

Ideal Use Cases

This model is best suited for certain scenarios, including:

  • New Product Launches: Determine which channels attract initial interest.

  • Short Sales Cycles: Works well for simple B2C purchase journeys.

  • Brand Awareness Campaigns: Evaluate the effectiveness of top-of-funnel efforts.

  • Feature Adoption: Track how users first engage with new features.

The First-Touch model is particularly valuable for demand generation teams focused on filling the sales funnel and identifying the channels that bring in first-time visitors. Knowing when to apply this model can help you align your marketing strategy with your business goals.

2. Last-Touch Model

How It Works

The Last-Touch model gives 100% credit to the final interaction before a customer completes a purchase. For example, if someone finds your store on social media, reads a few blog posts, and then clicks on a Google ad to buy, the Google ad gets all the credit. This approach is great for understanding the last step in the buying process but doesn’t account for the full journey leading up to that point.

Strengths

This model has some clear advantages for eCommerce businesses:

Strength

Business Impact

Easy to Set Up

Requires minimal technical effort, making it accessible for businesses of any size.

Direct Conversion Insights

Clearly identifies which channels are closing the sale.

Accurate Tracking

Focuses on the short time window between the last touch and purchase, reducing tracking errors.

Fast Results

Quickly shows which channels drive the final decision to buy.

Weaknesses

"The interactions that your leads have with your brand before making that purchase are numerous. With a last-touch attribution model, the customer journey is narrowed down to one single touchpoint – a landing page or an email, for instance. That isolated instance doesn't give much room for understanding what drove your leads to your product to begin with."

Some notable downsides include:

Limitation

Impact on Marketing Strategy

Ignores the Full Journey

Misses the influence of earlier touchpoints that nurture leads.

Misjudges Content Value

May not accurately reflect the impact of content marketing efforts.

Skews Channel Performance

Overemphasizes channels typically used for final purchases.

Limited Perspective

Fails to account for the role of top-of-funnel activities.

Ideal Use Cases

The Last-Touch model is most effective for:

  • Short sales cycles

  • Direct response campaigns

  • Simple marketing setups

  • Initial attribution efforts

It’s particularly useful for campaigns where the final interaction is key, like flash sales or limited-time promotions. However, it’s less suited for businesses with longer, multi-step customer journeys or those focused on building brand awareness.

3. Equal-Split Model

How It Works

The Equal-Split Model, often called the linear attribution model, gives equal credit to every touchpoint in a customer's journey. Instead of prioritizing the first or last interaction, it distributes the value evenly across all steps. For instance, if a purchase involves four touchpoints - like discovering a product on social media, receiving an email newsletter, reading a blog post, and clicking a paid search ad - each touchpoint gets 25% of the credit. This model evaluates interactions up to 365 days before a conversion, offering a full view of your marketing efforts.

Strengths

Strength

Business Impact

Balanced Perspective

Evaluates all marketing touchpoints equally, offering a fair assessment of channel performance

Long Tracking Period

Accounts for customer interactions up to a year before conversion

Easy to Use

Simple calculations make it straightforward to implement

Broad Channel Coverage

Recognizes contributions from both early and late-stage marketing efforts

Weaknesses

"The linear model allows you to look at your return on ad spend across your marketing efforts for the entire length of your funnel equally. This is a great way to look at your marketing channels holistically providing equal credit to each touch along the visitor's journey." - Attributionapp.com

While the Equal-Split Model offers a balanced approach, it has its drawbacks:

Weakness

Impact on Analysis

Lack of Precision

Doesn't account for the varying impact of individual touchpoints

Equal Credit Assumption

Treats all interactions as equally valuable, which might not reflect reality

Limited Depth

Ignores differences in how users engage with or respond to touchpoints

Restricted Timeline

A 365-day lookback may miss earlier influences on the customer journey

Ideal Use Cases

This model works well for businesses that:

  • Have intricate, multi-touch customer journeys

  • Prioritize long-term customer relationships

  • Want a broad understanding of their marketing mix's overall impact

  • Seek a neutral view of channel performance

The Equal-Split Model is especially useful for integrated marketing campaigns where multiple channels contribute to conversions. It ensures that early awareness efforts are acknowledged alongside tactics aimed at driving immediate results. By weighing its limitations and strengths, you can better align this model with your marketing strategy and prepare for a deeper comparison with other attribution models.

4. Time-Based Model

How It Works

The Time-Based Model, often referred to as the Time Decay attribution model, gives more weight to interactions that occur closer to the time of conversion. It relies on exponential decay, with a default half-life of 7 days. Here's an example of how credit is assigned:

Days Before Conversion

Credit

Same day

100%

7 days prior

50%

14 days prior

25%

21 days prior

12.5%

Typically, this model examines touchpoints within a 30-day window, making it a solid choice for campaigns with shorter sales cycles or promotional events. Below are some key benefits of this approach.

Strengths

Strength

Business Impact

Focus on Recent Interactions

Highlights channels that drive immediate results

Tracks Promotions Effectively

Great for measuring the impact of short-term campaigns

Uses Precise Calculations

Relies on exponential decay for accurate credit distribution

Adjustable Time Frame

The 30-day default can be tailored to fit specific needs

Weaknesses

While useful, this model does have some drawbacks:

Weakness

Impact on Analysis

Short-Term Emphasis

May overlook the importance of early awareness efforts

Complex to Implement

Requires advanced tools for tracking and analysis

Limited Historical Insights

A 30-day window might miss earlier influential touchpoints

Fixed Decay Rate

The 7-day half-life may not align with all business cycles

Ideal Use Cases

This model works best in scenarios like:

  • Quick Sales Cycles: Perfect for businesses where decisions happen fast with minimal deliberation.

  • Promotional Campaigns: Excellent for tracking time-sensitive offers or flash sales.

  • Seasonal Products: Ideal for retailers focusing on holiday or time-limited merchandise.

  • Performance-Driven Marketing: Suited for teams prioritizing immediate conversion metrics.

Which Marketing Attribution Model Should I Use?

5. Algorithm-Based Model

Building on the time-based model's emphasis on recent interactions, algorithm-based models take things further by using machine learning to assign credit dynamically based on how much each touchpoint actually influences a conversion.

How It Works

Algorithm-based attribution models rely on machine learning to evaluate and assign credit to marketing touchpoints. Unlike simpler models, these systems process large amounts of user-level data to calculate the likelihood that specific interactions contributed to a conversion.

Two main approaches are commonly used:

Approach

Key Features

Analysis Method

Shapley Value

Uses principles of game theory

Game theory-based analysis

Markov Chain

Focuses on sequential touchpoints

Transition probabilities

These models analyze a variety of data points, such as:

  • User clicks and ad impressions

  • Interactions across multiple devices

  • Timing patterns in user behavior

  • Relationships between marketing channels

By using advanced algorithms, the model adjusts dynamically as new data becomes available. This provides a more refined and constantly evolving view of marketing performance compared to static, rule-based models.

Strengths

Strength

Business Impact

Data-Driven Accuracy

Reflects real consumer behavior for better insights

Fair Distribution

Allocates credit more equitably across touchpoints

Dynamic Updates

Adjusts automatically as consumer patterns shift

Cross-Channel Insights

Highlights how channels work together effectively

Weaknesses

Weakness

Business Impact

Resource Intensive

Requires high computational resources

Complex Setup

Needs technical expertise to implement

Data Requirements

Demands extensive tracking across all channels

Stakeholder Education

Difficult to explain to non-technical teams

Ideal Use Cases

This model is best suited for businesses that:

  • Have Complex Customer Journeys: Companies managing multiple interactions across various channels and devices.

  • Operate in Data-Rich Environments: Organizations with strong tracking systems and plenty of user data.

  • Employ Advanced Analytics Teams: Businesses equipped with the technical skills to maintain these models.

Industry data shows that companies using algorithm-based attribution can improve marketing efficiency by up to 30%. For instance, a B2B company used an AI-driven attribution tool to analyze cross-channel customer interactions. This allowed them to pinpoint key conversion drivers and fine-tune their strategy.

Unlike simpler attribution models, this approach adapts to constantly changing consumer behavior, making it especially useful for industries like FMCG and eCommerce.

To get the most out of algorithm-based attribution, businesses should:

  • Use robust cross-device tracking systems

  • Set clear data collection guidelines

  • Ensure consistent tracking across all channels

  • Regularly review and adjust model parameters

Model Comparison

This section highlights the main differences between attribution models, focusing on their use in FMCG and eCommerce settings.

Here’s a quick breakdown of key models based on their complexity, data requirements, and typical use cases:

Attribution Model

Setup Complexity

Data Requirements

Best For

Common Use Cases

First-Touch

Low

Basic tracking

Awareness campaigns, new market entry

Building brand awareness

Last-Touch

Low

Basic tracking

Direct response, short sales cycles

Flash sales and promotional campaigns

Equal-Split

Medium

Multi-channel tracking

Balanced customer journeys

Subscription and regular purchases

Time-Based

Medium-High

Advanced tracking

Complex purchase paths

High-consideration products

Algorithm-Based

High

Comprehensive tracking

Data-rich environments

Multi-channel campaigns

Industry insights shed light on how these models perform:

"Attribution models help marketers understand the customer's path to purchase. It's important to note that what works for one brand may not make sense for you. You'll need to consider the type of products you sell and the length of your sales cycles." – Ash DSouza, Author, LayerFive

Adoption rates indicate room for improvement: only 11% of marketers use algorithmic attribution, 21% stick with single-channel models, and it typically takes 7–9 touchpoints for a customer to convert.

The setup process varies widely. Multi-touch models require integrated tracking to monitor all customer interactions, while algorithm-based models demand advanced analytics and extensive data resources.

"Different attribution models answer different questions, so it's important to understand which question needs answering to choose the right model." – CaliberMind Knowledge Base and Docs

Choosing the right model depends on your campaign goals and the tools at your disposal. Striking the right balance between complexity and practicality is key.

Next, we’ll dive into how to choose the model that best fits your campaign needs.

How to Choose Your Model

Selecting the right attribution model depends on your store's sales cycle and how much data you can work with. For fast-moving consumer goods, a simple model with a short time frame works best. Match your model choice with the complexity and insights outlined earlier.

Here’s a quick guide to help you pair your store type with the right attribution model:

Store Type

Sales Cycle

Recommended Model

Implementation Requirements

Small eCommerce

1–7 days

First/Last-touch

Basic analytics setup, UTM tracking

Mid-size FMCG

7–30 days

Equal-Split

Multi-channel tracking, CRM integration

Enterprise Retail

30+ days

Time/Algorithm-based

CDP, advanced analytics tools

Once you’ve identified the best model for your store, focus on getting it set up correctly.

"Marketing attribution is how you understand the marketing channels and tactics that are driving new customers to your business"

Ensure you have tracking in place across all your digital touchpoints. A solid integration strategy is key. For example, LayerFive reported a 94% conversion coverage rate and a 74% increase in revenue by integrating first-party tracking with Shopify and Salesforce.

Keep in mind that your model should adapt as your business grows. If you’re just starting out, go with simpler models and gradually transition to more advanced ones as your data capabilities improve.

To maintain consistency, standardize your attribution approach across teams. This ensures everyone measures performance the same way and makes insights clearer. Tools like Google Analytics' Model Comparison Tool can also help you test different models and see how they influence your performance metrics. This will help you identify the model that best captures your customers' buying journey.

Related posts